Economy & Finance

The Kohn Solution For An Uncertain Fed Via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Dario Perkins of TS Lombard wrote a piece titled “How to Respond to Oil Shocks.” His analysis draws on the Fed’s history to address how it should respond to today’s oil shock. While researching Fed transcripts from the 1990 Gulf War, he discovered a proposal by […]

29 Killed In One Of Worst Russian Military Air Disasters Of Ukraine War Russia has suffered one of its worst aerial disasters of the Ukraine war, as an An-26 Military Transport aircraft went down in Crimea with no survivors reported. The aerial disaster happened Tuesday, with state media reporting that the aircraft slammed into a cliff

“No One Knows What Will Happen Now”: Justice Jackson Warns Against Unbridled Free Speech Authored by Jonathan Turley, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson is again warning of a growing threat to the nation. In her lone dissent in Chiles v. Salazar, Jackson observed that “to be completely frank, no one knows what will happen now.” The ominous

WTI Dips After Big Crude Inventory Build, US Production Slows Oil prices are down overnight but playing headline roulette with every word that comes out of any leaders’ (or non-leaders’) mouth as ceasefire chatter (now denied) has WTI riding a roller-coaster (but below $100 once again as we write). “Flows and actions matter more than

Markets Have Returned To Taking Headlines As Gospel By Molly Schwartz, cross-asset macro strategist at Rabobank US Treasury yields have been falling for the past two days. On Monday, we saw US rates grind lower after Powell gave a speech at Harvard University where he seemed to hint that hikes were not part of the

“Resilient” US Manufacturing Sector Surges In Face Of War, Prices Paid Up Amid the fog of war and fading ‘hard’ data, the final March S&P Global Manufacturing PMI printed 52.3 (a small drop from the flash 52.4 print), higher than the 51.8 print for February. “Faster growth of output in March points to encouraging resilience

Trump Drops By Supreme Court To Hear Challenge To Birthright Citizenship Order Update (0950ET): President Trump dropped by the Supreme Court on Wednesday for oral arguments in the high-profile Trump v. Barbara challenging his executive order restricting birthright citizenship – making him the first sitting US president to attend Supreme Court oral arguments.  BREAKING President Trump has just arrived at the

Palantir Develops IRS Tool To Flag “Highest Value” Audits, Are Crypto Bros Next? Crypto bros and those of you with ‘creative’ accountants, heads up – the IRS is beefing up its ability to flag accounts for audits. Not only is this the first year that major US-based custodial crypto brokers are reporting gross proceeds to

The Barbell Economy: Why The Middle Is Vanishing Authored by Tamuz Itai via The Epoch Times, There’s a pattern quietly reshaping daily life, work, and society itself. Economists now call it the “barbell economy.” Value, growth, and opportunity concentrate at the two extremes—ultra-cheap utility on one end, premium experience and status on the other—while the

Trump To Address Nation With ‘Important Update’ On Iran War: What Will He Say? Update (0845ET): Minutes after we prepared this post, President Trump posted on his social media feed that Iran has asked for a ceasefire: “Iran’s New Regime President, much less Radicalized and far more intelligent than his predecessors, has just asked the