Economy & Finance

Markets Have Returned To Taking Headlines As Gospel By Molly Schwartz, cross-asset macro strategist at Rabobank US Treasury yields have been falling for the past two days. On Monday, we saw US rates grind lower after Powell gave a speech at Harvard University where he seemed to hint that hikes were not part of the […]

“Resilient” US Manufacturing Sector Surges In Face Of War, Prices Paid Up Amid the fog of war and fading ‘hard’ data, the final March S&P Global Manufacturing PMI printed 52.3 (a small drop from the flash 52.4 print), higher than the 51.8 print for February. “Faster growth of output in March points to encouraging resilience

Trump Drops By Supreme Court To Hear Challenge To Birthright Citizenship Order Update (0950ET): President Trump dropped by the Supreme Court on Wednesday for oral arguments in the high-profile Trump v. Barbara challenging his executive order restricting birthright citizenship – making him the first sitting US president to attend Supreme Court oral arguments.  BREAKING President Trump has just arrived at the

Palantir Develops IRS Tool To Flag “Highest Value” Audits, Are Crypto Bros Next? Crypto bros and those of you with ‘creative’ accountants, heads up – the IRS is beefing up its ability to flag accounts for audits. Not only is this the first year that major US-based custodial crypto brokers are reporting gross proceeds to

The Barbell Economy: Why The Middle Is Vanishing Authored by Tamuz Itai via The Epoch Times, There’s a pattern quietly reshaping daily life, work, and society itself. Economists now call it the “barbell economy.” Value, growth, and opportunity concentrate at the two extremes—ultra-cheap utility on one end, premium experience and status on the other—while the

Trump To Address Nation With ‘Important Update’ On Iran War: What Will He Say? Update (0845ET): Minutes after we prepared this post, President Trump posted on his social media feed that Iran has asked for a ceasefire: “Iran’s New Regime President, much less Radicalized and far more intelligent than his predecessors, has just asked the

US Retail Sales Jumped Most In 8 Months In February Bank of America’s omniscient analysts forecast a very strong month for Retail Sales in February data (released today)… The actual print was +0.6% MoM (better than the 0.5% consensus, but less than BofA’s forecast) comes after a revised higher 0.1% MoM decline in January (and

Futures, Bonds Surge On Optimism War May End, Oil Tumbles Below $100 Futures and bonds jump and oil fell, sending Brent briefly below $100 a barrel, as the de-escalation/technical/macro led relief rally continues on hopes of the Middle East conflict reaching an end soon  after Donald Trump said he expects the war in Iran to

Suspension Lifted On Helicopter Crews For Viral Fly-By At Kid Rock’s Home Authored by Troy Myers via The Epoch Times, Two AH-64 Apache helicopter crews were suspended, then quickly unsuspended Tuesday after they hovered next to Kid Rock’s “Southern White House” home in Nashville on Saturday. The long-time country rock musician posted a video of

ADP Employment Reports Shows Better Than Expected Job Gains, Accelerating Wages Hiring and pay gains both held steady in March. The ADP National Employment report printed a better than expected +62k jobs added in March (+40k exp) and modestly down from an upwardly revised 66k in February. That is the ninth straight month of job