Economy & Finance

Minecraft, Warcraft, Statecraft Submitted by Michael Every of Rabobank While mediators are pushing to get Iran and the US back into negotiations on Friday, the US still says it wants to see unified response from Iran which hands over its enriched uranium. But what will change between now and Friday? Two things, perhaps, and both […]

UBS Warns Drought Shock Unfolding Across Breadbasket Of America It’s not just us sounding the alarm about severe drought conditions hitting America’s breadbasket as spring plantings ramp up, or warning about the second- and third-order effects that could push food prices higher later this year. UBS analysts, led by Jonathan Pingle, told clients on Thursday

US Business Confidence Soared In April Amid “Panic, Emergency” Buying Ahead Of Price Spike Despite the recent slide in ‘hard’ macro data, analysts expected an incremental improvement in the preliminary April S&P Global PMI data this morning. Consensus was right as both Services and Manufacturing surveys signaled an uptick in April US business activity growth

Tanker Seizures By Iran Don’t Breach Ceasefire: White House Not only did President Trump this week unilaterally extend the Iran ceasefire by at least three to five days (upon initial announcement), but he has refrained from ordering new attacks against the Islamic Republic even as the IRGC navy continued intercepting foreign tankers. By Tuesday, he

Pot Stocks Soar As DoJ Reclassifies Medical Marijuana As Less Dangerous Drug Pot stocks are moving higher in premarket trading in New York after the Justice Department and DEA announced that FDA-approved marijuana-based drugs and state-licensed medical marijuana products will be moved immediately from Schedule I to Schedule III. This is a major shift in

9th Circuit Kills California’s ICE Unmasking Law The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals handed the Trump administration a significant legal victory Wednesday, issuing a formal injunction blocking California’s No Vigilantes Act from being enforced against federal law enforcement officers. The court ruled that the state law – which required non-uniformed federal agents to visibly display

Futures Fall As Iran Talks Remain In Limbo, More Ships Intercepted US equity futures are lower, but rapidly rising and now at premarket highs after a CCTV report that talks between Iran and the US in Pakistan may see a breakthrough “tonight or tomorrow”; still the optimism of recent days is being tested, with peace talks in

“Mo Hire, No Fire” Economy Emerges As ADP Surges With Jobless Claims Flat Following the surge in ADP’s weekly job additions index earlier in the week… Today we see that the number of Americans filing for jobless benefits last week was just 214k – hovering back near record lows… Continuing jobless claims inched back above

American Airline Cuts Outlook After Jet Fuel Shock Bill American Airlines slashed its full-year outlook on Thursday morning, warning it could post a loss in 2026 as the Iran-U.S. war, which sent jet fuel prices soaring, adds roughly $4 billion in fuel costs. The airline now expects full-year results ranging from a 40-cent loss to

U.S. Intercepts Iranian Tankers As Tehran Keeps Hormuz Chokepoint Shut The Hormuz chokepoint standoff between Tehran and the US military has become the center of the nearly two-month conflict. This standoff marks the next phase following an extended ceasefire with Iran after a second round of peace talks was canceled in Pakistan earlier this week.